Two Hours a Day of HDTV Per User Will Require 548 Times More Access Bandwidth

Akamai President David Kenny says that in five years the average user will consume two hours a day of high-definition video. To accommodate this insatiable demand, the Internet will need to increase capacity 548 times from where it is today.

That could have all sorts of implications. People might have to pay much-higher fees for bandwidth. People might refuse to pay, and limit their consumption of HD video. People might decide linear delivery and on-demand consumption (store and forward) actually provides high value at reasonable cost, and wind up watching most of their HD video on linear services that have digital video recorder features.

Application providers or service providers might come up with new ways of alleviating the bandwidth necessary to consume on-demand video. Advertising might wind up being a lot more important than it is today. Or all of the above, and other steps, might have to be taken.

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